Archive for the ‘California Republican Party’ Category



Swap Meet: Steve’s Close-up, Meg’s Woo Hoo

Saturday, December 5th, 2009

poiznervideoThe Ebert & Roeper Report: At post time, there were a measly 186 views of Steve Poizner’s new campaign video over at You Tube (three of them from Calbuzz – who says we have no life?) but Team Commish says that’s not the point.

The slick and shiny 7:38 video is being mailed on DVD to thousands of grassroots, donor and activist Republicans around the state – i.e. primary voters – as an “introductory” look at Poizner and his tax cut platform, a new move in his tortoise-and-hare bid to catch front-runner eMeg Whitman.

“Many people have yet to see Steve in person or hear him speak,” said campaign flack Jarrod Agen. “This gives a preview of the style and tone Steve will take both in messaging and advertising.”

Ominously titled “Back from the Brink,” the spot features the candidate speaking directly to the viewer while pacing around a spacious L.A. loft (nice refurbished hardwood floors!), amid a steady stream of camera angle cuts and iconic California images displayed on a background big screen TV,  all set to a cover of ZZ Top’s “Sharp Dressed Man” we’re pretty sure we last heard in the elevator of the Senator Hotel.

With Commish in his familiar Full Silicon Valley uniform of open-necked royal blue shirt, blazer and propeller head glasses, the tight shots sometimes make his head look bigger than the Rock of Gibraltar, but viewer reactions to the straight-into-the-camera device will be an intriguing test of how well Poizner visually projects cright_ebert-roeperonfident leadership.

More than any candidate in the race, Stevie Wonder looks like, well, a normal person, kind of a cross between George Deukmejian and William H. Macy, which could work either as a weakness or a strength. If change-hungry voters are in the mood for an average looking guy whom they’d trust to come by the house and fix their computer, then Poizner’s “detail oriented, hands-on” message might sell; if they’re looking for a more traditional pol’s projection of Reaganesque stature, he might suffer from a Gravitas Gap with Meg.

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eMeg Watch: Speaking of messages to supporters, we’ve just dug into our Friday “Field Notes,” Team Whitman’s little weekly e-blast, featuring a chatty note from Herself (“I enjoyed spending time this week with members of the Sacramento County GOP Central Committee at their holiday party”), happy, happy talk from the campaign trail (“While several at the event noted there is much work to do to re-energize the GOP in California, they said they are inspired to see a candidate like Meg enter onto the scene”) and even fun-filled features for the family (“Which of these peaks is the highest in California?” Memo to Calbuzz kids: Take Mt. Whitney and the points).

Although we’ve long been suckers for campaign propaganda brimming with an earnest, feel-good, Up-With-People tone –- kind of like the dumb-ass view eMeg seems to ascribe to voters –- here’s this week’s Calbuzz version of Field Notes from the Meg Whitman Campaign:

--Meg heads to Delaware! Meg Whitman is one of America’s premier business leaders, and she proves it again by traveling to The First State for a date in court, as eBay and Craig’s List sue each other’s asses off!

--Another big national interview for Meg! Building excitement for her campaign to be elected Governor of the United States, Meg gave a big interview to Time Magazine, perfectly reciting her talking points about a “spine of steel” and disdain for being “well liked”  – once again confusing the “need to be popular” with maintaining enough political clout, loyal allies and tolerant adversaries to accomplish an agenda in political office!

America just loves CEOs! Meg keeps dazzling voters by explaining that what California really needs is a high-powered, obscenely rich business executive willing to throw tens of millions of dollars into her own campaign – and by laughing off foolish public opinion polls that show ordinary people think CEOs are “greedy and willing to break the law.”

WooHoo for Meg!

Three dots: Reason #686 why Dianne Feinstein would peak the day she announced her candidacy for governor…Inquiring minds want to know:  Has Gavin Newsom ever uttered a single declarative sentence that wasn’t bragging? At least he’s not insecure…Today’s sign the end of civilization is near: Neck deep in sand, Really Really (Self) Important Reporters fret about top-rank bloggers joining White House press pool.

How eMeg Spends Money & Why Poizner Doesn’t

Thursday, December 3rd, 2009

megauctionMeg Whitman’s people wrote another big check for another, retooled statewide radio ad this week, while Steve Poizner’s e-blasted a memo assuring supporters that his pathetic, single digit standing in the polls was no reason to tap his own big pile of filthy lucre just yet.

Poizner’s letter is posted over at Flashreport, while conservative yakker Eric Hogue has a a right-wing critique of it up at Hoguenews. In stream of skillful spin only slightly longer than the L.A. phone book, Poizner manager Jim Bognet tackles the key question bestirring some of his backers and puzzling the Calbuzz cognoscenti:

Why the hell hasn’t The Commish yet tapped his personal fortune to get his name out there, at a time when eMeg has already begun to build a sense of inevitability in the Republican primary race for governor?poizner

Proper timing is a central tenet of our plan. We understand that the general public is not paying attention to the 2010 governor’s race – and won’t be until a few months into next year. Californians are focused on raising their families and making ends meet in a difficult economy. While there are a few thousand insiders intently paying attention, the Poizner campaign is quietly progressing while keeping its focus, rather than expending excessive time, energy, and money on inside baseball . . .

Early and excessive spending by the Whitman campaign has had an impact on the polls. While this is to be expected, it is largely meaningless. With the primary still more than seven months away, multiple surveys confirm that the electorate hasn’t engaged and the overwhelming majority of voters are undecided. Whitman’s poll numbers ultimately reflect an increase in name identification, not lasting support. At this point in the race, Name ID means little. Just ask Jon Corzine.

Fair enough, but their whole the-race-starts-when-we-say-it-starts message strikes a lot of insiders,  Republicans and Democrats alike, as a short-sighted rationalization for giving eMeg a free shot at building the perception she’s the presumptive nominee while Single Digits Steve remains a virtual unknown.

radio_wavesPrime example: Whitman’s multi-million dollar investment in an ongoing, low-profile if costly, radio campaign — designed to boost her name ID and three-point platform of creating jobs, cutting spending and fixing education -– has been a shrewd bit of communications strategy.

Says Democratic consultant Bill Carrick of LA, one of the best in the business: “It operates to some degree under the radar. But in a state where people are in their cars one to three hours a day, if you stay with it long enough and spend enough, it has the potential to be very effective -– a sort of slow burn impact that can move voters. Every day, drip by drip, she’s communicating with voters.”

And while Team Poizner has expended energy on ginning up a debate about debates to capitalize on Chicken Meg’s fearful avoidance of nose-to-nose confrontations, her sustained radio campaign has kept her in the public ear, if not eye:

“It has allowed her to be visible while she’s still somewhat a candidate in training,” said Carrick.

On the other hand -– as we former editorial writers are wont to say -– eMeg’s spending is indeed as a thing of wonder. Its obscene magnitude, coupled with her let-them-eat-cake financial platform, may yet backfire in an economic atmosphere which isn’t going to find many presents under the tree this Christmas.

Check out the Secretary of State’s official reports for Margaret C. Whitman who has spent – your best Carl Sagan voice here – millions and millions. Already.

The spending report we looked at totals the first six months of 2009. Keeping in mind there’s millions of bucks worth of updating to do, consider that in the month of June alone, eMeg’s nut was $1,672,637.70.

Here’s some other six-month random numbers to ponder:

– $2,111,774.29 – Amount spent on consultants.
– $943,067.71 – Total for internet and online services.
– $462,642.44 – Dished out for campaign employee salaries.
– $430,723.32 – Thrown at polling and other research services.
– $102,076.71 – Amount spent on private aviation services.

(Trying to figure out exactly who’s getting paid what is a bit challenging, but it looks like among the consultants, Scott Howell has been getting $75,000 a month [maybe that includes commissions and/or fees?], Henry Gomez Gonzales was paid at $36,000 a month, SJZ consultants at $36,000, Jeff Randle at $27,500,  the Davis Group, Heuter and Associates, Strategy Co. and Mitch Zak, all at $20,000 a month.)

Of course, this was before eMeg hired media man Mike Murphy, who, you gotta guess, is gonna make some serious change off the campaign.

Among staffers –- and we sincerely hope we’re not stirring up a hornets’ nest here –- top pay was going to Tucker Bounds and Todd Cranney who appeared to be pulling down $15,000 a month, followed by Michael Saragosa at $12,500, Sara Myers at $12,000 and John Endert at $10,500. (The volcanic Sarah Pompei hadn’t signed on yet, along with several others.)

We gotta say we were a bit stung on behalf for our old colleague Mary Anne Ostromtolstoy from the San Jose Mercury News, sitting in the nosebleed seats at $7,166 a month.

For comparative purposes, consider this: Tom Campbell’s “Recipient Committee Campaign Statement” (tracking all income and expenditures) from 1-1-09 to 6-30-09 is 103 pages; Poizner’s is 256 pages and Whitman’s is a staggering 668 pages –- on track to match Leo Tolstoy’s “War and Peace” by the end of the year.

Whether eMeg’s Queen Midas strategy proves far-sighted or folly will not be known, of course, until the results of the June primary are in. At this point, Team Poizner’s attack on her spending sounds suspiciously like whistling past the graveyard.

What eMeg’s Murphy Hire Means for Gov’s Race

Wednesday, November 25th, 2009

Murphy_MikeDespite their partisan differences, count Democratic consultant Garry South, the party’s Duke of Darkness, as one of Republican strategist Mike Murphy’s fans: “He’s a great guy – one of the funniest and smartest people I know in politics. He brings a centrist perspective that befits the political climate in California pretty well.”

But South – who was S.F. Mayor Gavin Newsom’s consultant in the governor’s race until the Prince dropped out last month – also warned that by bringing Murphy into her campaign, Meg Whitman runs the risk that afflicts most wealthy candidates in California (viz: Simon, Bill and Checchi, Al).

“Having more consultants doesn’t necessarily mean a better campaign,” he added. “They put together these big campaigns but they don’t know who to listen to and there’s sometimes warring camps that take hold inside and give the candidates conflicting advice.”

As word spread, in the wake of our Tuesday post, that Whitman had brought Murphy into her campaign, insiders saw both opportunities and risks in the move, balancing the high-profile consultant’s talent for messaging and strategy against his take-no-prisoners style, which can be aimed both at his candidate’s rival – as well as his own rivals within the  campaign.

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One Republican strategist who has worked with Murphy described his greatest value to Whitman this way: “He’s somebody with actual political experience and the stature to push back on the candidate and her non-political advisers when it’s necessary.”

While it appears that Whitman crony Henry Gomez, her former eBay colleague and closest adviser, was the one who reached out to Murphy, his presence in the campaign will also assure that “When Henry has an idea that’s dumb, there’s someone who can call him on it,” the source said.

Like many business executives, Whitman has a low regard for political professionals, several sources said;  for this reason, she needs a strategist who is not intimidated by her, “someone who can get into her face and say ‘This is what we have to do,’” as one operative put it.

megandmittMurphy – who was no doubt recommended to Whitman by those around her old pal and mentor Mitt Romney — is such a figure. Said another former Murphy colleague: “He’s the original Big Foot. He’s charming and good company. But he’ll stomp on everybody  else. He’ll want to dominate in every respect. He’s a one-man wrecking crew.”

Murphy has a reputation for being disorganized, disheveled and sometimes difficult to get engaged. “Organization is not his forte,” said a former GOP colleague.

But those who know him suggest that Murphy – who lives now in the Hollywood Hills, hasn’t run a campaign in years and works in the entertainment industry – has no intention of taking over the campaign.

“It’s good to have as many smart people around the table as possible,” said former Schwartzmuscle spokesman Rob Stutzman and Murphy business partner in Navigators LLC, who’s now part of eMeg’s brigade of consultants.

Murphy is said to have been genuinely impressed with Whitman’s leadership skills and – no doubt – her ability to pay whatever fee he’ll be charging for his strategic and message advice. “Fortunately, this is the type of campaign that has the luxury to keep adding talent,” said one operative.

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Despite speculation that his presence will diminish the role of the other consultants now feeding at the Whitman campaign trough, sources say most will welcome a figure of stature who can help focus a campaign that can’t seem to decide from day to day whether to attack Republicans Steve Poizner and Tom Campbell or go straight after Attorney General Jerry Brown, the presumptive Democratic nominee.

Calbuzz expectation: Once Murphy gets engaged, Whitman is likely to ignore Poizner and Campbell and use his acid touch to go straight after Crusty the General – unless Poizner finally decides to crack open his pocketbook and put up some serious TV and radio designed to take out eMeg before she runs away with the show.

BTW — Here’s some of the official spin on Murphy’s hire, from eMeg Central:

Murphy will work closely with the campaign’s two other senior advisors, Henry Gomez and Jeff Randle. Murphy will also work closely with Jillian Hasner, Whitman’s campaign manager. Hasner, Gomez, Murphy and Randle make up the senior leadership of the campaign.

“Our goal is to win in June and November, so we can start putting California back on track,” said Whitman. “Mike is a trusted friend and someone who brings enormous experience to our campaign. There is no one better at helping Californians understand your message, values and commitment.”

Perhaps. But before he was for eMeg, Murphy was dancing cheek-to-cheek with Poizner. In fact, he laid out a pretty serious approach for the Commish in this memo, (download it as a pdf) passed along to us from Poizner’s campaign.

Asked about the memo by the Sacramento Bee, Murphy said:

“It’s true that around July (of last year) I gave Steve Poizner some free advice about how to set up a campaign. Steve offered me a consulting position on the campaign, and I declined it. I’m fond of all Republicans, but I’ve decided I believe Meg Whitman is the strongest Republican candidate and the candidate the party should nominate in the primary. I look forward to a united Republican party behind Meg Whitman after the primary election.”

Sources: Mike Murphy to Join eMeg Gravy Train

Tuesday, November 24th, 2009

mike murphyUpdate 10:30 a.m. Whitman manager Jillian Hasner has just sent out a release confirming the Calbuzz scoop that Mike Murphy is signing on to eMeg’s campaign for governor. He’s “joining the team to advise, at a senior level, our campaign’s winning strategy,” says Hasner. Here’s our earlier story, posted at 12:06 a.m.

Mike Murphy, the blunt-spoken, sharp-tongued, smart aleck Republican strategist who has advised such clients as John McCain, Mitt Romney and Arnold Schwarzenegger, is joining Meg Whitman’s campaign for governor, two reliable sources told Calbuzz.

Whitman, who has already spent more than $20 milllion, decided to shake up her campaign on  Friday, Nov. 13, one source told us, and add  another layer to her consultant-rich organization.

Murphy is widely known in the business for his skill in dealing with the media, which could help eMeg’s dreadful relations with much of the California press; although she has enjoyed a host of often fawning profiles in national publications, she has strained relations with many of the state’s major media outlets. Most recently, the Wall Street Journal described her  “thin skinned” attitude towards the press, a charge she answered by saying many of the newspapers seeking access to her would soon be out of business.

Murphy is widely credited with Schwarzenegger’s victory in the 2003 election; at the same time, he is also blamed for the disastrous defeat of Arnold’s agenda of reform initiatives in 2005, which led to his departure from the Schwarzenegger camp.

More recently,  Murphy has been vocal in his criticism of Sarah Palin, beginning with her selection by McCain as a running mate in the 2008 election. His continuing criticisms of Palin, and of the right-wing ideologues who champion her as a Republican savior, would bring an intriguing element into the GOP primary for governor, where the most conservative elements of the party historically dominate the vote.

In addition to McCain and Romney, Murphy’s gubernatorial clients have included  Jeb Bush,  John Engler, Tommy Thompson, Christie Whitman, Dirk Kempthorne and Terry Branstad. Also the senatorial races of Lamar Alexander, Slade Gorton, Spence Abraham, Jeff Sessions, Dirk Kempthorne, Steve Symms, Paul Coverdell, and Larry Pressler.

A spokesman for the Whitman campaign did not respond to a request for comment. Murphy could not be reached.

Items: eMeg Yaks, Choice Threatened, Trees Die

Saturday, November 21st, 2009

meghandsWhile Calbuzz patiently awaits eMeg’s callback, letting us know what time to pick her up for dinner, we’re whiling away the time reading the transcript of her sit-down with old friend Teddy Davis of ABC News.

When Davis asked Her Megness why she was a better choice than Jerry Brown 2.0, we were surprised that her response was basically: “I’m not a career politician.” Weak sauce: Neither was Arnold Schwarzenegger and look how well that turned out. Polls show voters want a change. From what? How, exactly, does yet another outsider from the private sector represent change? Maybe eMeg’s good  pal President Mitt Romney can explain.

We liked this question: “How is the Meg Whitman Republican Party different or similar to a Sarah Palin Republican Party?” which she not very courageously deflected:

“You know, I like to think that I will subscribe very much to the core Republican principles of small government. Making a small number of rules and getting out of the way. Keeping taxes low. Creating an environment for small businesses to grow and thrive.”

Pressed on whether she’d support a constitutional convention, Meg made one thing overwhelming clear: she won’t support anything that even opens the possibility of reducing the two-thirds majority needed either to pass the budget or to raise taxes.

“We can’t have a constitutional convention as a Trojan Horse to undo the two-thirds majority,” she said.

Teddy is more informed than most national reporters about California, having worked for the Gray Davis campaign and as a speech writer in his administration before leaving to go to law school and then on to ABC. Still the Whitman camp’s decision to go with him reflects an ongoing media strategy of focusing on out-of-state and national outlets. Can’t wait to see how she does in the New York Republican primary.

Add NutMeg: Whitman is getting whacked pretty good around the blogosphere for her latest knuckleheaded comment, in response to a Wall Street Journal (more national press!) question about the media:

The aggressive coverage also contrasts with the fawning profiles she received while at eBay, and Ms. Whitman can sound thin of skin about the press. Asked how she plans to improve media relations, she says, ‘Some of these newspapers, as you know better than I, will not be around in the near term.’ Given her high-tech background, Ms. Whitman says her campaign plans to get her message out through the Web better than any previous candidate.

Clearly, bashing newspapers and talking up the web is a tactical move by eMeg to prepare the ground for an exclusive interview with Calbuzz. Hey, is that the phone?

taliban.jpgCan the Taliban be far behind? As Susan Rose reported in this space last week, the House vote approving a health care bill that includes anti-abortion language poses a major potential threat to women’s access to reproductive health services which goes far beyond the ranks of those enrolled in a  “public option” insurance program.

Now, as first posted by Talking Points Memo David Dayen at firedoglake, a new study by the George Washington University School of Public Health has concluded that the anti-abortion amendment could eventually eliminate abortion as an elective procedure in the country altogether.

We conclude that the treatment exclusions required under the Stupak/Pitts Amendment will have an industry-wide effect, eliminating coverage of medically indicated abortions over time for all women, not only those whose coverage is derived through a health insurance exchange…

(The Stupak Amendment) can be expected to move the industry away from current norms of coverage for medically indicated abortions. In combination with the Hyde Amendment, Stupak/Pitts will impose a coverage exclusion for medically indicated abortions on such a widespread basis that the health benefit services industry can be expected to recalibrate product design downward across the board in order to accommodate the exclusion in selected markets.

You can read the full study here.

sinkhole

As the state sinks slowly in the West: If you can read only one story about the latest horror show study of California’s budget sinkhole – and why would you want to read more? – check out Greg Lucas’s take on the new Legislative Analyst report over at California’s Capitol:

The first term of California’s next governor will be a fiscal nightmare with a cumulative budget shortfall over four years of nearly $83 billion, according to the fiscal forecast released November 18 by the Legislative Analyst.

Lucas quotes Leg analyst Mac Taylor thusly:

The scale of the deficits is so vast that we know of no way that the Legislature, the governor and voters can avoid making additional, very difficult choices about state priorities,” the report says. “In the coming years, major state spending programs will have to be significantly reduced. Policymakers will also need to add revenues to the mix (emph. ours).

Waste, fraud and abuse, indeed.

Press Clips: Best line of the week honors to NYT’s Gail Collins, who riffed  on the  news about revised medical conventional wisdom about mammograms with a reminder of the weird weltanschung of newspaper columnists:

I had breast cancer back in 2000, and I am trying to come up with a way that I can use that experience to shed some light on these new findings. I have never believed that everything happens for a reason. But I do feel very strongly that everything happens so that it can be turned into a column.

More felicitous phrasing turned up in a smack that the Chron’s editorial page delivered to the nose of the puppy-eyed Gavin Newsom, opining enough already with his “illusion of delusion” following his withdrawal from the governor’s race and instructing him to grow up and start acting like a mayor instead of a whiny adolescent engaged in a “sulkathon.”

GimmeRewriteInquiring minds want to know how editors at the B- let this sloppy wet kiss to the nether cheeks of Sacramento super-consultant firm California Strategies get into the paper…Memo to copy desk: next time you decide to use the words “No surprise” in a headline over an item about a “completely predictable” report, save yourself some time and just make it: “Don’t read this.”

Deep Throat call home: Love the sourcing on this item, about Schwarzmuscle chief of staff Susan Kennedy getting ready to jump ship, by the otherwise reliable Josh Richman of the Coco Times, who sets things up with a blind quote:

“I was told by a good source – a very senior person from inside the horseshoe – six, seven weeks ago that once she got water done, she’d go to Mercury to make some money off the campaign,” one source said, asking not to be identified.”

For those keeping score at home, make that one 6-4-3.

Clint’s crystal ball: Carly Fiorina’s camp didn’t waste any time eblasting around an intriguing piece by Clint Reilly over at California Progress Report,  in which he makes the case that iCarly is going to be a lot tougher Senate candidate than the political class expects. Dismissing out of the hand the GOP primary challenge of Assemblyman Chuck DeVore, Reilly notes Willie Brown’s Boxer-is-the-luckiest-politician-in-California meme and opines that Hurricane Carly will give Babs all she can handle in a “bare knuckles…donnybrook.”

“Political handicappers have underestimated Fiorina’s chances,” the Great Man sez.

chronbldg-246x300-whtElegy for the Chron: We’re a little late getting to this one, but “Final Edition: Twilight of the American Newspaper” by Richard Rodriguez in the November issue of Harper’s is by far the smartest and most elegantly written piece we’ve read on the decline of ink-on-trees journalism

At a time when the Hearst-owned Chronicle is reduced to hawking itself on the basis of its shiny newsprint, Rodriguez traces the rich and romantic history of the Chronicle from its Civil War start by the de Young brothers, who arrived from St. Louis in San Francisco and promptly “invented themselves as descendants of French aristocracy.”

From its inception, the San Francisco Chronicle borrowed a tone of merriment and swagger from the city it daily invented – on one occasion with fatal consequences: in 1879 the Chronicle ran an expose of the Rev. Isaac Smith Kalloch, a recent arrival to the city (“driven forth from Boston like an Unclean Leper”) who had put himself up as a candidate for mayor.

The Chronicle recounted Kalloch’s trial for adultery in Massachusetts (“his escapade with one of the Tremont Temple choristers”). Kalloch responded by denouncing the “bawdy house breeding” of the de Young boys, implying that Charles and Michael’s mother kept a whorehouse in St. Louis. Charles rose immediately to his mother’s defense; he shot Kalloch, who recovered and won City Hall. De Young never served jail time. A year later, in 1800, Kalloch’s son shot and killed Charles de Young in the offices of the Chronicle.

‘Hatred of de Young is the first and best test of a gentleman,’ Ambrose Bierce later remarked of Michael, the surviving brother. However just or unjust Bierce’s estimation, the de Young brothers lived and died according to this notion of a newspaper’s purpose – that it should entertain and incite the population.

Rodriguez weaves the story of the paper deeply into the texture of the history of the city (as well as his own biography as a Sacramentan seeking “a connection with a gray maritime city at odds with the postwar California suburbs”). Starting with the refreshing premise that the collapse of newspapers is not merely the result of disruptive technologies, he offers an extended, not-a-wasted word reflection on the loss of civic community in an age of disintermediation and virtual atomized niche markets.

When a newspaper dies in America, it is not simply that a commercial enterprise has failed; a sense of place has failed. If the San Francisco Chronicle is near death – and why else would the editors celebrate its 144th anniversary? And why else would the editors devote a week to feature articles on fog? – it is because San Francisco’s sense of itself as a city is perishing.

Great stuff. There’s a pay wall in front of the piece, but it’s worth figuring a way to get around it, or even buying a ticket for admission.

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Finally: While Calbuzz was buzy slapping around the Jerry Brown uncampaign operation for squandering Crusty’s dominant position in the governor’s race, Keith Esparros at NBC Bay Area had an entirely different take: That Jerry is getting great publicity as the peoples’ crime fighter while keeping his ass out of the fire fight.

That’d be fine if the strategy also allowed Brown to maintain his lead in the polls and buzz about him which — by the way — he’s going to need to keep independents interested enough to vote in a no-action Democratic primary, or risk losing them in November.