Quantcast

Archive for the ‘California Politics’ Category



A Viewer’s Guide to the Democratic Debates

Wednesday, June 26th, 2019

bingoBy Jerry Roberts
Newsmakers

From Bernie and Biden to Warren and Williamson, the race for the Democratic presidential nomination begins for real on Wednesday evening — the first of two consecutive nights of nationally televised, speed dating debates featuring 20 contenders among the vast field of wannabes.

Both events will be broadcast and live streamed by NBC and by Telemundo from 6-8 p.m. PDT.

Plenty of free parking.

For two hours tonight and tomorrow, two panels of ten candidates each will woo voters by answering questions from celebrity news personalities, each hoping to be the one who will emerge a year from now as their party’s challenger to the cruelty, greed, misogyny, narcissism, racism, sociopathology and xenophobia of Donald Trump’s presidency of toxic nationalism.

Let us pray.

A few key questions. At post time, there were an even two dozen entries in the Democratic pack, at least a handful of who might actually win.

As our old friends Mark Barabak and Michael Finnegan over at the Los Angeles Times explained:

There are several reasons for the exceedingly large field: Changes to the nominating process — which all but eliminated the gate-keeping role of the major political parties — and the advent of social media have made it much easier to wage at least a semiserious run for president.

There is little downside to entering and losing the contest (unless you think a lucrative cable-TV gig is slumming it) and plenty of incentive to run in 2020, with polls suggesting President Trump is highly vulnerable.

Here are five key questions to help frame the debate among and between the 20 who made the party’s first cut:

How will Biden withstand scrutiny? Former Vice President Joe Biden is leading every poll to date, running on the very simple message that: a) beyond any and all ideological concerns, the Democrats’ singular mission must be to defeat Trump and b) he is best positioned to get that job done.

As an old, white, establishment male with a long record filled with political baggage, however, his low-profile campaign has been beset by controversy in recent weeks – over abortion rights, environmental policy and race, among other things – that call into question his suitability to lead Democrats at a time when many in the party are moving leftward, so his Thursday night debate appearance provides a crucial first test of his abilities in the political free-fire zone.

 

 

Can Bernie recapture the liberal mantle from Warren? As Senators Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and Bernie Sanders of Vermont vie to emerge as the chief left-liberal foil to Biden,  she has been the hottest candidate in the field in recent weeks, her climb in the polls fueled by an ever-expanding platform of substantive, progressive policy ideas captured in her “I’ve got a plan for that” campaign slogan.

By luck of the draw, Warren will have top billing on Wednesday night’s debate stage while Sanders will appear alongside Biden on Thursday, giving him an opening to challenge the front-runner directly, in a way that could reignite the enthusiasm he excited among the party’s left wing in 2016, while also blunting her momentum in liberal precincts.

 

 

Will Kamala re-emerge? California Senator Kamala Harris had the strongest campaign kickoff of any contender, but the energy quickly dissipated, not only because of progressive attacks on her record as a prosecutor, but also due to her own habitual and irksome attempt to have it both ways on every issue.

If biography and viral moments (viz. her questioning of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh) were all that counted, Harris would be the front-runner, but her twin talents for equivocation and vacillation have fed a narrative that the only core convictions she possesses are in behalf of her own ambition and personal advancement.

 

 

Can Beto and/or Mayor Pete regain their mojo? Former Texas congressman Beto O’Rourke, who became famous for narrowly losing a U.S. Senate race to Democratic bogeyman Ted Cruz, and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, a gay millennial multi-lingual military veteran with splendid presentation skills, both shined for brief periods as bright shiny objects played up by the national political media.

While Mayor Pete has been battered at home in recent days over the shooting of an African-American citizen by a white cop, and Beto (who won the endorsement of SB Representative and former housemate Salud Carbajal this week) has been bashed for lacking substance, the debates give both a fresh chance to reboot with plenty of time left.

 

 

Who will be the X factor? From spiritualist Marianne Williamson to half the rest of the Democrats in Congress, state and local government, the remaining single-digit hopefuls in the field will do their best to craft a memorable moment of prime time political performance art that will send them soaring in the polls and top-of-mind for party voters, perhaps even aided by Trump, who’s threatened to live tweet the debates.

A week before Independence Day may seem too early to start paying attention to next year’s presidential race, but it’s barely seven monthsbefore voting starts in Iowa. And, let’s face it, the stakes could not be higher.

Here is Newsmakers’ special Follow-the-Democratic-Campaign Resource Kit:

  1. A useful calendar of key campaign events.
  2. A comprehensive guide to where the Democratic candidates stand on the issues. 
  3. Vox is a great source of clearly written, substantive coverage about every aspect of the race, from a left-of-center perspective.
  4. Five Thirty Eight has all the polling info you could ever want.
  5. The New York Times asked all the candidates the same 18 questions. For some reason, Biden wouldn’t answer.
  6. A fascinating poll of which candidates voters wish would drop out already.
  7. And finally, our favorite campaign tool of all, the NYT’s Debate Bingo Card.

 

Images: The NYT’s campaign watch party tool; Newsmakers loves horse race coverage; Joe Biden; Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren (Vox); Kamala Harris questions Brett Kavanaugh; Pete Buttigieg and Beto O’Rourke (New York Magazine); Marianne Williamson (Wiklipedia).

The Numbing of America: The Rape of E Jean Carroll

Tuesday, June 25th, 2019

e jean carrollBy Dick Polman
WHYY News

In a normal universe – as opposed to the one we’re forced to inhabit – a vivid allegation of rape, leveled at a serially misogynist president, would be a news story worthy of 24/7 coverage. Heck, it would even be bigger than the recent feeding frenzy about Joe Biden touching some women’s shoulders.

But naturally, the details offered on Friday by New York writer E. Jean Carroll – that Donald Trump, in his previous incarnation as a real estate hustler, banged her head against a wall and forcibly penetrated her in a department store dressing room – sputtered in the weekend news cycle.

It was barely mentioned on the Sunday morning TV shows. It didn’t make the front page of the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, or the Chicago Tribune; on Saturday, 164 stories were featured on the New York Times’ online home page, but there were none about Carroll, a well-regarded advice columnist for Elle magazine, who is now the 22nd woman to accuse Trump of sexual misconduct.

donald-trump (1)Dangerous Trump Fatigue That latter fact is crucial. Many Americans – or, more precisely, many in the media – are so benumbed by Trump, so fatigued by the daily evidence of his amorality, that even the freshest, most sickening accusation (“he opens the overcoat, unzips his pants, and, forcing his fingers around my private area, thrusts his penis halfway – or completely, I’m not certain – inside me. It turns into a colossal struggle”) is treated as “old” news.

The thinking, such as it is, goes something like this: Everybody knows that Trump is an awful person (he was even captured on tape bragging about grabbing women’s genitalia), but he won the ’16 election anyway. Therefore, further confirmation of his awfulness isn’t deemed to be nearly as newsworthy as, for instance, NASA’s moon rocks (front page of Saturday’s Wall Street Journal), or the decriminalization of psychedelic mushrooms (front page of Saturday’s Los Angeles Times). “News,” in the traditional sense, is about telling people something they don’t already know.

But Carroll’s allegation, featured in a new book (confirmed by two Carroll friends who were told of the incident at the time) – and, most importantly, Trump’s response to her allegation – warrants major coverage, because this story, when placed in its proper context, tells the tragic truth about the numbing of America.

jailLong Chain of Abuses Here’s context: Jill Harth, Kristin Anderson, Lisa Boyne, Temple Taggart, Mariah Billado, Cathy Heller, Karina Virginia, Natasha Stoynoff, Rachel Crooks, Mindy McGillivray, Jennifer Murphy, Jessica Drake, Ninni Laaksonen, Summer Zervos, Cassandra Searles, Alva Johnson, Juliet Huddy, Jessica Leeds. Those are just some of the women who have accused Trump of sexual misconduct. That list does not include the beauty pageant women who said that Trump barged into their dressing rooms. He has assailed all these women as liars. In 2016, he threatened to retaliate by suing them, but never did. He claimed that some were getting paid to smear him, but never tried to prove it.

This context makes Carroll’s story more important, not less. It’s arguably the most serious accusation of all, because it’s about rape, not groping. Conservative attorney George Conway (husband of Kellyanne) points out: “Carroll’s account is supported by the sheer number of claims that have now surfaced against Trump – claims in which women have accused Trump of engaging in unwelcome or forcible sexual conduct or assault against them.” Indeed, Conway writes, “what Trump described in the (Hollywood Access) video is exactly what Carroll says he did to her.”

Fortunately, Trump has done his best to feed the sputtering news cycle by lying anew. When he denied the rape allegation, he said: “I’ve never met this person in my life…I have no idea who this woman is.” Which was amusing to hear, because Carroll’s article, posted on the New York magazine’s website, includes a photo that shows Trump talking with Carroll at a party.

He also resurrected one of his golden oldies: “There were numerous cases where women were paid money to say bad things about me. You can’t do that. You can’t do that, and those women did wrong things, that women were actually paid money to say bad things about me.” He has never offered a scintilla of evidence that any women were paid to say bad things.

angrytrumpArt of the Steal He also claimed that Carroll concocted a fiction “to sell a new book.” Actually, that’s what he did, via his ghostwriter, when he concocted the fiction that he was a business genius. That’s his sole frame of reference. He thinks that everyone else is just like him – blatantly lying for the sole purpose of hyping themselves.

Will this rape allegation move the public opinion needle? Of course not. Carroll writes: “(Trump’s) admirers can’t get enough of hearing that he’s rich enough, lusty enough, and powerful enough to be sued by and to pay off every splashy porn star or Playboy Playmate who ‘comes forward,’ so I can’t imagine how ecstatic the poor saps will be to hear their favorite Walking Phallus got it on with an old lady in the world’s most prestigious department store.”

But that doesn’t mean this story should slide into the void. It’s too important. It shows how numb we’ve become. It exposes anew the hypocrisy of the Republicans and evangelical leaders who have greeted the story with silence – the same people who once championed “character” and “morality” in our highest office. And it shows, once again, that more than 40 percent of the electorate will reject any and all accusations, not matter how serious, because they perceive that Trump alone is the font of truth.

dickpolmanIf this story, placed in its broader context, is allowed to fade away, this nation will have forfeited another slice of its soul.

Editor’s Note: Trump has also rolled out his standard. disgusting sexist slur: “She’snot my type.”

Dick Polman’s column was originally posted on WHYY.org/News, where he contributes each week. Former political editor of the Philadelphia Inquirer, he also writes for The Atlantic online and is a writer-in-residence at the University of Pennsylvania.

CA Dems: A Return to Normalcy Is Catching On

Sunday, June 2nd, 2019

hookersdemoBy the time the California Democrats left San Francisco Sunday – after the Dominatrixes Against Don and the bleeding man anti-circumcision protests; after Elizabeth Warren stole thunder from Bernie Sanders; after Kamala Harris was cheered for demanding impeachment and Nancy Pelosi was heckled for resisting it — the bottom line on the state party convention was clear:

For Democrats, the agonizing trauma that is Donald Trump — denounced at every turn as a racist, misogynist, homophobic religious bigot – is so overpowering that even at Ground Zero for the progressive movement, they opted for pragmatism over ideology.

rustyWhich is good news for Democratic presidential front-runner Joe Biden: While he skipped the event to campaign in Ohio, California Democrats overwhelmingly elected as their new chairman Rusty Hicks, a white male, nuts-and-bolts labor organizer from the Obama-Clinton-Biden wing of the party over Kimberly Ellis, an African-American Bernie backer and champion of the grassroots progressive faction.

“It tells me they want to start organizing and leave the drama behind,” Rose Kapolcynzki, a veteran consultant and combatant in countless intraparty wars, told us in the lobby of the Parc 55 the morning after the vote.

“At some point, people want stability,” agreed consultant Roger Salazar, who served as temporary spokesman for the party. “Even in a city like San Francisco, where there is so much aggressive diversity, having somebody like Rusty come in and say he’s fighting for our values but in a steady way – that appeals to people.”

In short, the simple, singular and pragmatic message of the absent Biden – that Trump is an aberration whose ouster will return the nation to normalcy – at least for one weekend absorbed and assimilated much of the ideological wrangling over impeachment, health care and climate change.

schiff2The I-word. To be sure, plenty of candidates and party luminaries, including Rep. Maxine Waters, chairwoman of Financial Services, called for impeachment – although she did so in the context of lavishly praising Speaker Pelosi, who opposes impeachment for tactical reasons. Others, like Intelligence Committee Chairman Rep. Adam Schiff, who shared the Saturday night dinner speaking slot with Maxine, worry more about the fallout from an impeachment in the Democratic House leading to acquittal in the Republican Senate.

We asked Schiff in a face-to-face conversation after his dinner speech Saturday night (which made us late to our own soiree with fellow hacks at John’s Grill — but we never complain) if impeachment has become a fault line within the Democratic Party, as many Beltway bloviators argue.

“I don’t think so,” he told us. “There’s certainly a difference of opinion about it and it’s a deeply important issue. But I was kind of gratified that of all the things I said tonight the one that received the most prolonged applause was the idea that when the primary is over we’re all going to come together behind whoever emerges. And that will be the case whether they were for or against impeachment or from the left or the center. We are determined not to go into 2020 a house divided.”

Whither progressives. That said, Biden will still face tough challenges debating issues, particularly health care, from the candidates carrying the banner of the lefty progressives.

From the look of things in San Francisco, Elizabeth Warren as of now has by far the most energized progressive push, and appears to be eating into Bernie Sanders’s base, as a younger, fiery and thoughtful voice on the Democratic socialist left.

Warren had a great convention, starting with a huge enthusiastic rally Friday night in Oakland, and delivering the most rousing convention speech on Saturday, which included a clear but soft swipe at Biden.

Senator Elizabeth Warren gave a speech during the general session of the California Democratic Party's annual convention at the Anaheim Convention Center on Saturday. ///ADDITIONAL INFORMATION: demsconvention.0517 Ð 5/16/15 Ð BILL ALKOFER, - ORANGE COUNTY REGISTER -  Senator Elizabeth Warren gave a speech during the general session of the California Democratic Party's annual convention at the Anaheim Convention Center on Saturday. During the speech a group of more than 200 gathered outside the convention center and protested proposed legislation that would require mandatory vaccinations.“Our country is in a crisis,” Warren told the cheering Democrats. “The time for small ideas is over…We need a bold structural change…We dream big and fight hard…Too many people in our party say ‘settle down’…When a candidate tells you about all the things that aren’t possible…they’re telling you they will not fight for you.”

It’s a message – with its implicit critique of Biden — that resonates with progressives like Norman Solomon of RootsAction.org, who told us he’s looking for a candidate “who can open a progressive, populist door.”

berniesandersAnd many Democrats are still moved by Sanders’ insistence, delivered to a sparse Sunday morning crowd on the convention floor, that “there is no middle ground” when it comes to climate change, health care, responding to mass shootings, immigration reform and “useless wars.”

“In my view, we will not defeat Donald Trump unless we bring excitement and energy into the campaign and unless we give millions of working people and young people a reason to vote,” Sanders said — a not-so-subtle dig at Biden.

But far more California Democrats at the convention, lined up with people like Erin Lehane of the Blue Collar Revolution — one of the 1,820 delegates who gave Hicks a very surprisingly easy victory.

She told Calbuzz that Democrats need to remember that working families are their backbone and their basic economic needs must be the focus for the party: “No party, to be effective, can be on the fringe,” she said. “I don’t think Californians who are struggling to make ends meet are focused on impeachment – they’re just trying to support their families.”

nancybuttonAnother intriguing sign of pragmatism: While some Democratic speakers framed opposition to the Republican’s national push to outlaw abortion as a matter of privacy and women’s rights, at the Women’s Caucus, under the leadership of Christine Pelosi, Planned Parenthood attorney Maggy Krell emphasized that “abortion is health care,” while  Speaker Pelosi herself focused on  “family planning” — common sense, kitchen table formulations that make all the screeching about infanticide by the wingnut GOP evangelicals in Trump’s base seem even more extreme, and offer a non-culture war argument that suburban woman of all ideologies can support.

Pelosi – who is from the city herself – is not one to get up and argue, as former SF County Supervisor David Campos did at one venue, that “San Francisco’s values are America’s values.”

Some other take-aways:

bidensmirkBiden was smart to stay away. As Rose K told us: “He wasn’t going to win on the applause meter.” More: being out of the way likely helped Hicks and Co. rally their labor support without the distraction that Biden would have created, by dominating the news.

warrensloganWarren’s chants need work. Waiting for their hero to arrive for her Saturday speech, Warren supporters actually chanted this: “Bold/Struc-Tural/Change! Memo to chant leaders: Stick with “Dream Big! Fight Hard!”

Impeachment is a tactical difference, not an existential fault line. Pelosi, whose foot-dragging on impeachment has annoyed, if not enraged, progressives, nonetheless got a hero’s reception, despite the outcries of a small number of pro-impeachment lefties who tried to interrupt her Saturday speech.  And when pro-impeachment bandwagoneer Tom Steyer, who also was given an opportunity to speak in the name of inclusivity, was about to come to the kicker of his address, in which he called out Pelosi by name to lead “or get out of the way,” ka-boom, his walkoff music suddenly rose up and the words were drowned out as he was played off stage. A mere coincidence, no doubt.

Former Gov. John Hickenlooper (D-CO) speaks at the United States Conference of Mayors winter meeting in Washington, U.S., January 24, 2019. REUTERS/Yuri Gripas - RC1866C8A6A0Winning by losing. As we forecast, former Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper had a breakthrough moment – getting himself plugged into the news cycle by getting booed by the Bernie faction when he proclaimed that “socialism is not the answer” to achieving progressive policy goals. Maryland Rep. John Delaney, the last candidate to speak on Sunday morning, got similar treatment when he mildly argued that Medicare for All is “not good policy” and drew a long and loud chorus of booing from the Bernie bots, about the only people left in the hall by that point. Whether or not it benefits the two long shots, it’s a bad look for the Dems – makes them look as intolerant as the Legions of Trump.

pressroomWe’re from the press, we’re here to help. After two years plus of being labeled Enemies of the People, we admit it was refreshing to hear Christine Pelosi urge people to make room at the Women’s Caucus for “our friends in the press.” Aww.

On the other hand, despite the terrific work by Roger Salazar and Hilary McLean to handle media, arrange interviews, organize announcements, etc. for the party, the press room food was poorly supplied, weirdly staffed  and filled with sketchy people with press passes who represent no known media outlet. One of these nutjobs grabbed Kamala’s microphone at a Move On event.

circumcisionDemocrats can’t compete with the Reps on the swag of hatred. A tour of the vendor and exhibitors haul yielded no buttons or posters with the vicious brand of personal loathing — Kill Hillary! Jail Obama! — that we routinely find at Republican conventions. They’re all really nice. :-)

Best demo. Outside the hall, both Erotic Workers for Decriminalization of Sex Work and the guys in white pants with red paint on the crotch carrying Circumcision is Child Abuse fit the bill for old-school San Francisco street theatre.

Calbuzz rankings of the 14 candidate speeches: 

Contenders
Biden – Won by staying away.
Warren –Raised the roof.
Booker – Inspiring, even if “this campaign is about love” is pretty hokey.
Mayor Pete –  I’m the only Millennial in the race.
Harris – Adequate speech that met expectations but not much more

Running for Veep or Cabinet Post
Klobuchar — Best joke of the weekend: Her fundraising prowess includes raising $17K from ex-boyfriends.
Castro – Best pitch on immigration.
Beto – I speak Spanish, too
Inslee – The “clean air wing of the party” is a good line.

Running for the Exercise
Hickenlooper – Nobody paid attention til he got booed.
Swalwell – Clever line thanking delegates: “You cut our time in hell in half “ by working for the Blue Wave.
Gillibrand – I am a woman,
Tusli – “I will govern with Aloha.”
Delaney – Trump hair jokes fell flat.

schiffgroupiesAnd for the dedicated nerds who actually care about issues, here’s some of our interview with Adam Schiff (which we shared with the Los Angeles Times).

CB: Is Donald Trump in debt to Russians?

AS: I don’t know what financial relationship Donald Trump may have with Russian interests. We know that he certainly tried to consummate a massive real estate deal during the campaign and lied about it. And we know that his business sought to get the Kremlin’s assistance to make that deal happen and it’s hard to imagine something more compromising than that. Whether his financial entanglement goes beyond that, I don’t know. Chairman Waters and I have subpoenaed financial institutions to get their records. We intend to try to follow the money and find out.

CB: Is Trump functioning as a Russian asset?

AS: I wouldn’t describe him as a Russian asset but I think it’s our obligation to make sure that American national security policy is not driven by his financial interests.

CB: Do you think it might be?

AS: He certainly wanted to consummate a business deal in Russia and people around him and maybe Mr. Trump himself believed that in order to do that he needed Putin’s approval. And in light of that it certainly provides a plausible explanation for why he can’t seem to criticize Vladimir Putin.

CB: Why can’t the Democrats make the case that Trump at this point is functioning on behalf of the Russians?

AS: I don’t know that I would agree with the premise. If you asked the American people whether they think the president has stood up to the Russians, I think they would say “no.”

CB: But is he functioning for them? You think he might be?

AS: I think many people perceive that when it comes to Russia, he’s not acting in the national interest. And they don’t know why. We know in the case of North Korea that there are a variety of other motivations at play – you know, the flattery of Kim Jung Un, the attacks on Joe Biden by Kim Jung Un. I think the desperation, having reneged on the Iran nuclear deal, to somehow make a deal with North Korea means that the president’s bargaining position is weak compared to Kim Jung Un.

CB: Has Trump sold out American interests?

AS: I certainly think that when he sides with the Kremlin over our own intelligence agencies he is being deeply unpatriotic, that he is tearing at the morale of the hard-working men and women at our intelligence agencies, he’s causing sources to dry up and it’s an open invitation to the Russians to interfere further. I think the message that Putin walked away with from Helsinki was—the same message that concluded their last phone conversation –and that is when the president says he believes this is all a hoax and he says it to the man who perpetrated an attack on our democracy, he is inviting him to do it again and telegraphing that he’s too weak to stand up to the Kremlin.

CB: Has impeachment become the fault line in the Democratic Party?

AS: I don’t think so. There’s certainly a difference of opinion about it and it’s a deeply important issue. But I was kind of gratified that of all the things I said tonight the one that received the most prolonged applause was the idea that when the primary is over we’re all going to come together behind whoever emerges. And that will be the case whether they were for or against impeachment or from the left or the center. We are determined not to go into 2020 a house divided.

LATimes: Why is it so important for you and Speaker Pelosi to hold the line on impeachment?

AS: I think this is too big, too important, too consequential to be driven by the politics of it – whether it energizes our base or their base whatever the case may be politically. I don’t know what the answer is, I just know that for us it’s not the right question…What’s best for the country. Do we go through that wrenching experience, that ultimately very divisive experience particularly if we know what the result is likely to be? And there are powerful arguments that we should and damn the consequences. I’m not there yet. I may get there.

LAT: What would it take to get you there?

AS: If at the end of the day when the litigation is over and the court orders the administration to comply with the oversight requests of Congress and he still refuses and ignores the third branch of government as well as our own, then he will leave us no choice. But we may get there before then. The administration does seem to be pushing us in that direction…

Schiff defines the dilemma: If we don’t impeach him what does that say to future congresses and presidents about whether this kind of conduct is compatible with the office. By the same token if we do impeach him and he’s acquitted in the Senate and there’s an adjudication that that conduct is not impeachable, that may be a worse precedent.

CB: Which is worse?

Both are problematic and the reason we’re in this terrible dilemma is that one party has completely forsaken its obligations under the constitution and become just an extension of Rudy Giuliani.

reclaimed waterPost Script:

Only in San Francisco can you find a urinal with the warning: “RECLAIMED WATER DO NOT DRINK.” Thanks for the heads-up.

Road Trip! How Many Ds Can Fit in Moscone Center?

Thursday, May 30th, 2019

conventionladyThe Calbuzz “How Can You Miss Us if We Won’t Go Away” Reunion Tour will roll into San Francisco this weekend, along with every Democrat in the Northern Hemisphere, half of whom are running for president.

At least fourteen – 14, count ‘em, 14 – presidential wannabes are scheduled to hit the stage at the California Democratic Party convention, as 3,400 delegates, a few thousand more grassrooters, consultants, media blowhards and a handful of Actual Political Reporters flood the zone around the Moscone Center, careful to step around the dung and discarded hypos.

Their goal: rustle up stamp-lickers, canvassers, phone-dialers, fund-raisers and foot soldiers to support their quest for California Gold: some portion of the 495 delegates – more than Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina combined — up for grabs in California’s March 3 primary next year.

About the only big D Dem not making the scene is presidential front-runner Joe Biden, the former Veep. He has opted to skip the spectacle of his candidate colleagues toadying to the left-wing collection of CTA and SEIU hacks, hobby horse Marxists and millennial anarcho-syndicalists who comprise the party’s 58 county delegations and who bear as much resemblance to California’s 8.6 million registered Democrats as unicorns to plow-horses.

We’re a bit teary that Joe won’t be here this weekend: At least half of us were there at the 1988 California Democratic Party convention in Sacramento (and reported it later) when Biden “borrowed” eloquent portions of the late Bobby Kennedy’s speeches without attribution, contributing to his withdrawl from the presidential campaign that year. We were hoping he’d get a re-do in front of the CA Dems.

Nevertheless, your Calbuzz Geezers have bravely bestirred themselves from the links and endless rounds of Pie Face with the grandspawn to tell you all you need to know about the big event, which will focus on these key questions:

joebiden2020Will Biden pay a price for skipping? Leading in all the polls and persuasively offering himself as the party’s best bet to knock off President Cheeto Face, Biden is taking a pass on the convention, choosing to headline a big LGBTQ event in Ohio instead of joining the lineup of longshots, no-hopers and self-regarding narcissists begging the lefties for support by promising organic risotto in every pot and voting rights for terrorists.

Some Beltway Geniuses (hopefully not from ace Cathy Decker’s WashPost storm chasers) no doubt will churn out some predictable drek that quotes the grumbles of some disgruntled delegate from Palo Alto or Santa Monica that fits under a “Biden Blows Off California” headline. But when the next LA Times poll comes out, the state party’s confab will prove to have been about as important as last year’s endorsement of Kevin de Leon over Dianne Feinstein for U.S. Senate.

For the record, the closest thing we could get from a Biden campaign insider about whether the candidate’s no-show means he’s abandoning hope here was from Biden fund-raiser Steve Westly, the former California State Controller, who said, “I promise you, Vice President Biden is not conceding California to anyone.”

(Aside: It chaps us to no end to see crappy “political reporting” in search of a narrative that “millennials are rising” or “women candidates are making waves” or “progressives are demanding changes” or whatever, when Actual Polling Data, like here for example, shows that Biden is leading in every demographic – women and men, whites and non-whites, older and younger voters and one-eyed, left-handed Basques from Fresno. Why? Because a) real voters want a return to normalcy, b) non-whites more than anyone want to beat Trump and c) he’s seen as the only fully-formed adult who can tell Trump nose-to-nose that he won’t be Putin’s lapdog.)

kamalaharrisWill Kamala take a position on anything? “Why is Kamala Harris Running for President?” Politico headlined the other day, above a piece by our old friend Chris Cadelago, who’s covering the California Junior Senator’s bewildering campaign for president. Why indeed?

We have no doubt that brilliant consultant Ace Smith and his crew will have the convention wired as a Kamala pep rally, but as always with her, it will be far more sizzle than steak. As we’ve noted, in a blindingly insightful perceptual scoop that since has been reprised by virtually every national political outfit, Harris has never demonstrated an iota of evidence that she has an authentic core of political values and principles beyond her own self-important and boundless personal ambition.

Portraying herself as a “progressive prosecutor” has gotten her in trouble with the hard-left wingers who reject that whole notion of crime and punishment, but the real problem for Democrats would be if she were to win the nomination and Trump and his henchman peel the bark off her pathetic record as San Francisco’s DA and succeed in defining her as a Mike Dukakis clone.

williebrown2Will Willie lay off the Kamala jokes? Political icon Willie Brown is listed as the lead-off speaker for Saturday’s general session, and we’ll be listening closely to hear if the erstwhile Ayatollah cracks wise about his long-ago Affaire de Coeur with Harris, which was the launch pad for her political career.

Harris’s handlers have managed to shush up this plain fact, known to anyone who actually was around at the time, by labeling anyone who points it out as a sexist pig. But that didn’t stop Willie Himself from shouting attention to it when Kamala kicked off her presidential campaign with a great line: “We had a perfect relationship,” he said, “She was in love with me and so was I.”

pelosiwagWill Nancy Get Booed? It’s her hometown. She’s the Speaker of the House of Representatives. She’s an icon in California politics and the best Trump Whisperer in DC. But he’s also a holdout on whether the Democrats should just admit Trump is an outlaw and take up an impeachment bill against the president. She prefers bleeding him to death with investigations and court rulings, denying him a single point of counter-attack and wiping him out by election in 2020.

So when she addresses the General Assembly of the CDP on Saturday morning she’ll be standing in front of thousands of left-liberal delegates who, we suspect, are in the Hang Him High Caucus. This is a crowd that doesn’t hesitate to jeer even the most revered political figures (see: Feinstein, D.). If she lays out her strategy — and maybe she won’t — we won’t be surprised if she gets blowback from the assembled lefties who couldn’t care less about how that will play on Fox News or even on MSNBC.

Former Gov. John Hickenlooper (D-CO) speaks at the United States Conference of Mayors winter meeting in Washington, U.S., January 24, 2019. REUTERS/Yuri Gripas - RC1866C8A6A0Will this be John Hickenlooper’s breakthrough moment? The former governor of Colorado, relegated to the Saturday afternoon speaker lineup, is among the least-known of the 14, um, contenders who will be on the scene and, like all of the others, dearly hopes he can say or something that will break through the noise and draw the attention of the 87 gazillion reporters in the hall talking to each other about dinner reservations.

We’re hoping Hickenlooper succeeds, if only because we like saying his name, but his chances remain slim, as name brands like Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar and Harris suck up all the oxygen. (FYI, the East Bay’s Eric Swalwell – who is, well, swell but has no business running for president – is on the card, too. If he’s gonna leave Congress, which he shouldn’t, we like him for U.S. Attorney for Northern California.)

darkaCan Daraka capture the chair? The B-card battle of the weekend is the fight for the chairmanship of the party, left vacant when ex-chair Eric Bauman was forced to resign in disgrace amid a very nasty sexual harassment scandal.

With seven candidates running, only three – Bay Area activist Kimberly Ellis, LA labor chief Rusty Hicks and CDP vice chair Daraka Larimore-Hall – are given much of a chance by the bookies in the Saturday balloting; the winner needs 50 percent plus one of the delegate votes, however, so a Sunday runoff between the top two finishers is likely. (As thoroughbred access whores, we kinda like Daraka, a rude, brusque committed progressive, mostly because he lives in the same neighborhood as at least half of us.)

garolofiWill Garofoli hand out night soil maps? The Washington Post scooped the hometown Chronicle with a fabulous piece  last week telling the vivid story of how Big Tech and wealth disparity has transformed San Francisco into an unaffordable dystopian hellhole for anyone who doesn’t have a billion dollars to live in a bubble of obscene wealth and comfort.

We’re counting on Mission Street Joe, the Chron’s ace political man, to steer us clear of all the awful sights and smells between our penthouse suite at the Parc 55 and the convention center. Don’t let Costco Carla and her band of Politicos scare you away. See you at dinner.

Why Democrats – White and Black – Back Joe Biden

Monday, May 13th, 2019

obama-bidenLet’s dispense with the notion that name ID explains why former Vice President Joe Biden is repeatedly showing up with double and triple the support of other Democrats in states like New Hampshire and South Carolina and in national polls.

The reason Biden is the top pick of more Democrats than any of the others is pretty simple: more than anything else, Democrats want to defeat President Donald Trump and they see Biden – with all his baggage, warts and limitations – as the candidate most likely to deliver.

At this point in the race, they’re right.

putinslapdogInto the Stature Gap Biden is the one candidate who can stand toe-to-toe with Trump and say he won’t be Putin’s lapdog or Kim’s errand boy. As far as most Democrats are concerned, that’s more important than Biden’s support for the 1994 Crime Bill, his mistreatment of Anita Hill during the 1991 Clarence Thomas hearings, his support for the Iraq War in 2002 or any other dodgy aspect of his record.

Why? Because he was Barack Obama’s devoted vice president and he’s positioned – at least for now – to hold all the blue states Hillary Clinton won in 2016 and take back Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Because that’s all the Democrats have to do to kick Trump to the curb.

Recent polling from Quinnipiac found Biden had 42 percent support among nonwhite Democrats and CNN put his nonwhite support at 50 percent.

There’s more than a little unintended racism among the political analysts who assume that Senators Kamala Harris or Cory Booker are destined to soar in South Carolina and other states where black votes are critical. What that analysis overlooks is the fact that black voters (and especially black women) – more than any others – want to beat Trump.

It’s why a number of black leaders have suggested that their dream ticket for 2020 would be Biden-Harris.

mondalejacksonWe’ve Seen This Movie Before We’re reminded of one of our earliest forays into presidential politics back in the Dark Ages, when Fritz Hollings, Jesse Jackson and Walter Mondale were vying in December 1983 for the endorsement of the Alabama Democratic Conference – one of the most important black organizations in the South. Jackson, the civil rights leader with strong ties throughout the region, made a soaring, impassioned plea, but when the dust settled in Mobile, ADC endorsed Mondale as the Democratic Party’s best hope against Ronald Reagan.

Fortunately for the Democrats, Trump has none of the charm or political skills Reagan had and with the right candidate, he can be defeated.

But not if Democrats – whoever they wind up choosing – shoot themselves in the foot by selecting a candidate who kowtows to the demands of the most liberal fringes of their party in a vainglorious attempt to sweep the Left at the expense of the Middle.

P.S. After this was posted, The Quinnipiac Poll ran a special crosstab for Calbuzz of its survey of registered Democrats in Pennsylvania showing that Biden and Cory Booker do slightly better when non-whites are in the sample while Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren do slightly worse. So, non-whites boost Biden’s big lead — 39-13% over Bernie Sanders, who comes in second.