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Field Poll: Gov. Gandalf Crushing Tyrion of Kashkari

Wednesday, June 25th, 2014

gandalfandtyrionDemocrat Jerry Brown has little to fear from his GOP challenger, Neel Kashkari, according to the latest Field Poll that finds the governor leading by 20 points – 52-32% — including 13% among Republicans.

Gov. Gandalf’s favorable-to-unfavorable rating of 54-31% and his job performance evaluation of 54-29% — are even more daunting, leaving Tyrion of Kashkari sucking wind with a fav/unfav of 28-16% and 56% of likely voters asking “Who?”

Brown’s job rating puts him just a notch above President Obama in California, where his approval/disapproval is 50-39%.

Even Men Like Jerry The problem for Kashkari is not just that nearly six in 10 voters have no idea who he is, it’s that Brown is popular across the board. He’s the choice of Democrats by 82-7%, of independents 49-25% and of Republicans 13-71%. Brown is not only ahead among women 54-31% but he leads among men (who aren’t traditionally sympathetic to Democrats) by 49-34%.

Kashkari’s lead among likely voters who say they’re strong conservatives is just 75-10% and among those who say they’re moderate conservatives, Tyrion’s lead is just 42-40%. In other words, one in 10 strong conservatives and more than four in 10 moderate conservatives prefer Gov. Gandalf over The Imp.

And if, as Calbuzz likes to remind our readers, California elections are decided in the middle of the electorate, Kashkari may consider seeing if Daenerys Targaryen has a spare dragon or two. Among those likely voters who say they’re middle-of-the-road, Brown leads by a staggering 30 percentage points — 56-26%.

Ouch.

The Field Poll surveyed 2013 California adults June 5-22, including 1,382 registered voters  and 982 likely voters, in English, Spanish, Cantonese, Mandarin, Vietnamese and Korean. A total of 1,402 interviews were conducted with respondents on their cell phones and 611 were conducted on a landline or other type of phone. . The maximum sampling error for results from the overall registered voter sample is +/- 2.7 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, while findings based on the likely voter sample have a maximum sampling error of +/- 3.2 percentage points.

Because certain Field Poll subscribers object to Calbuzz being allowed to subscribe to the Field Poll, findings have been gathered from sources.